Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.056755 0.064521 0.072478 0.081208 0.090487 0.100025 0.110544
2025-08-31 0.042184 0.053212 0.065111 0.078758 0.093844 0.109892 0.128138
2025-09-07 0.034381 0.047406 0.062070 0.079469 0.099256 0.120802 0.145794
2025-09-14 0.029220 0.043656 0.060519 0.081095 0.105020 0.131535 0.162744
2025-09-21 0.026219 0.041970 0.060945 0.084615 0.112610 0.144046 0.181444
2025-09-28 0.022635 0.039079 0.059545 0.085659 0.117065 0.152780 0.195696
2025-10-05 0.022308 0.040294 0.063113 0.092599 0.128390 0.169368 0.218872
2025-10-12 0.018789 0.036833 0.060508 0.091768 0.130296 0.174900 0.229251
2025-10-19 0.016715 0.035137 0.059991 0.093377 0.135014 0.183625 0.243241
2025-10-26 0.014505 0.032990 0.058701 0.093865 0.138256 0.190527 0.255043
2025-11-02 0.012853 0.031490 0.058147 0.095189 0.142445 0.198491 0.268042
2025-11-09 0.010886 0.029251 0.056409 0.094848 0.144467 0.203791 0.277845
2025-11-16 0.008229 0.025572 0.052541 0.091727 0.143142 0.205287 0.283480
2025-11-23 0.006148 0.022509 0.049339 0.089350 0.142679 0.207799 0.290339
2025-11-30 0.005067 0.021125 0.048525 0.090146 0.146222 0.215171 0.302993
2025-12-07 0.004314 0.020263 0.048436 0.091893 0.150961 0.223994 0.317384
2025-12-14 0.004005 0.020327 0.049790 0.095661 0.158339 0.236091 0.335743
2025-12-21 0.003300 0.019306 0.049314 0.096778 0.162200 0.243800 0.348778
2025-12-28 0.003627 0.020914 0.053201 0.104191 0.174415 0.261958 0.374541
2026-01-04 0.002723 0.019145 0.051381 0.103304 0.175585 0.266289 0.383469
2026-01-11 0.002283 0.018492 0.051378 0.105020 0.180197 0.274919 0.397630
2026-01-18 0.001770 0.017432 0.050597 0.105541 0.183175 0.281472 0.409240
2026-01-25 0.001421 0.016757 0.050438 0.106954 0.187332 0.289503 0.422657